Coming up with predictions at any time is rarely easy. But 2023 was the kind of year that could make even the most seasoned prognosticator throw their hands up in the air.
Recession warning bells gave way to proclamations of a coming “soft landing,” which then morphed into fears that the economy was running “too hot.” Enthusiasm — and funding — for anything generative AI hit a pace that shocked even industry insiders. And in the year’s final months, Israel was blindsided by a devastating attack by Hamas, throwing Middle East relations into disarray.
“Humans just aren’t very good at predicting,” Freakonomics Radio host Stephen Dubner recently warned LinkedIn News. He’s got a point (and an episode about it). But we can’t help ourselves. And that’s okay, as long as we are clear on why we’re making predictions in the first place: At their best, predictions help us expand our sense of what’s possible. They may not come true, but they can help us see the world through new eyes.
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